Well, it’s been a few days since our souls were crushed. I am still deep in the sad/despair stage of grief. I had my heart broken in 2000, 2004, and 2016. I tried so hard not to be overly optimistic until the last few days when I really thought things were moving towards us (I curse you, Ann Selzer). In 2016, we were mad. Trump’s win felt like a fluke and we had boogeymen to point to -- James Comey, Bernie bros, the media, etc. This time, we know it’s not a fluke. It’s a pattern. Voters chose Trump with eyes wide open. We’ll learn more about the why over time. And I’m just so, so sad.
So, what now? Here are my initial take-aways:
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One week, everyone. It’s all hands on deck. Remember, we don’t know what the early vote is telling us. The 2020 election was a Black Swan event and we cannot compare apples to oranges. Polls were not designed to measure races this close and margin of error is real. This could be a relative blowout either way or an extremely close race that takes weeks to decide. Brace yourself.
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The general election starts today. There are 286 days until Election Day (and many states start voting 30 or even 45 days before -- you go, Virginia!) This WILL be a Biden-Trump rematch, barring a major medical event. Superdelegates won’t swap out Biden for a different nominee and Nikki Haley has no path forward. We need to help our friends and family understand this binary choice and the consequences of staying home or voting third party. You are who they look to for advice -- post on social media and pass on positive news (you don’t need to debunk every conspiracy theory or get into debates but getting good stuff out there helps).
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Hi friends. It’s been a while! I hope your 2023 is off to a good start, now that we’re more than halfway through. Fall is on my mind, with Labor Day, back to school, and leaves starting to change (in the mountains, at least; it’s still in the 90’s in Denver). And with Fall comes elections! Below I will discuss what to watch in the few elections this November and preview 2024.
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