Election 2024
Don’t need to give today! But get ready for recounts at all levels and likely post-election protection, litigation, ballot curing, and messaging. Today is Election Hero Day. Please take a moment to thank election workers you come into contact with today, tomorrow, and always.
One more day (of voting, that is). To quote funny people on the internet, I am nauseously optimistic. The vibes are good. Friends and family are getting out the vote in battleground states from AZ to PA (I have been to CO-8 numerous times; pro-tip -- adorable 8-year-old helpers lead to a higher contact rate). I haven’t felt energy like this since 2008. Ann Selzer’s Des Moines Register poll in IA may be overly optimistic but there is definitely something happening with women, ie, we are still super mad. In the Dobbs decision, Justice Sam Alito said, “women are not without electoral or political power” and we appear to be rocking that power -- and revenge -- at the ballot box.
I predict Harris will win 292 Electoral College votes, winning the Blue Wall states of PA, MI, and WI, the NE-2 vote, and NV and NC with narrow losses in AZ and GA. I also predict Democrats will win the House, with a D+10 net in the House (losing Marie Glustenkamp Perez in WA-3 but retaining all other incumbents and open seats) and lose the Senate, D-2 (losing MT and WV), and winning one independent (NE).
Below are a bunch of resources including some fun things to print for kiddos.
HELP
RippleVote -- check if your contacts have voted and, if not, scripts for how to text or call them
Phone bank for Harris-Walz -- I am focusing on calling young people who tend to vote late.
PRE-ELECTION
Help voters stay in line Pizza to the Polls
TargetSmart’s TargetEarly National 2024 Early & Absentee Vote Report
AP Want to follow election results like a pro? Here’s what to watch in key states
My list on X of Election Data Dorks
COUNTING & CERTIFICATION
Bolts Who Counts Our Elections? -- detailed state-by-state guide to how elections are certified and the role of each actor at each level of government
Protect Democracy The 2024 Vote Count: What to Expect
NYT When to Expect Results in Each State on Election Night, and Beyond
FiveThirtyEight When Will We Know 2024 Election Results?
Brennan Center How Elections Are Certified in Battleground States
TRACKERS
AL Advising tracker
The DownBallot Big Board
The DownBallot State Legislative Tracker
County Demographics tracker
iCivics Electoral College map for kids
270towin interactive map
MESSAGING
ASO/Research Collaborative Prebunking and Combating MAGA’s Anti-Voter Attacks
New Left Accelerator Post-Election Toolkit
More to come whenever we know results, what we need to do to count every vote, or where we march….